Generative AI is the Iceberg Software Vendors Didn’t See Coming

5 min read

A neon networks shaped as a iceberg created with Leonardo.ai

Generative AI is revolutionizing the tech landscape, but many software vendors are missing the boat. Learn why this is a critical moment for the industry and how to navigate the challenges ahead

Echoes in the Corridor

The air in today’s tech companies is thick with the echoes of the past, much like a dense fog that refuses to lift. Picture this: Two decades ago, the corridors of these very companies buzzed with the excitement of Business Intelligence (BI). Managers, their egos inflated like hot air balloons from successful ERP implementations, strutted around as if they had cracked the code of the universe. They believed they were the alchemists of the new age, capable of turning data into gold.

But here’s the twist: I was there, a young professional eager to make sense of this new frontier. Armed with the wisdom of Kimball and Immon, I navigated through the fog and sailed my career on the winds of success. Each of my projects was a beacon in the mist, while around me lay a landscape littered with failed BI projects and monstrous architectures. Why? Because these managers, propelled into their roles by SAP successes, were too arrogant to study BI. They thought their SAP experience was a universal key, but it couldn’t unlock the complexities of BI. The result? Years of stagnation, wasted resources, and unfulfilled promises.

Fast forward to today, and the fog has thickened, now swirling around Artificial Intelligence (AI). Managers with backgrounds in analytics, frustrated by the inaccuracy of their forecasting models, are making the same mistakes. They toss data and algorithms onto the table like a gambler throws dice, hoping for a winning roll. But hope is a poor strategy in the face of change. Nature teaches us survival goes to those who adapt quickly, fail fast, and earn faster. These managers, stuck in their old ways, are missing the boat, and it’s a boat that’s quickly sailing toward new horizons.

Navigating the Mirage: The Strategic Quagmire of Generative AI

The technology landscape is a shifting sand dune, constantly reshaped by the winds of innovation. In this ever-changing environment, software vendors are the nomads searching for the next oasis of opportunity. Yet, many navigate this terrain with outdated maps, especially around new digital breakthroughs like Generative AI. But here’s the catch: the oasis they seek might be just a mirage, a false promise that lures them into strategic pitfalls.

In today’s IT world, the buzzwords are agility, disruption, and digital transformation. Consulting firms and system integrators are adjusting their offerings, touting next-gen platforms and greenfield solutions. But beneath this veneer of modernity lies an outdated business model that prioritizes short-term gains over long-term value creation. This is the strategic context that software vendors must understand.

The shift from a price-based to a value-based business model is not just a trend; it’s an imperative. In this new paradigm, IT departments are not just cost centers. They are enablers of business functions that generate revenue. This shift necessitates a reevaluation of vendor partnerships and strategies. Some vendors are already adapting, positioning themselves to meet these new needs. Others are stuck in the past, offering discounts as their only value proposition.

The reality is that a strategic partnership in today’s tech landscape is not just a transaction; it’s a confluence of shared visions and objectives. It’s a journey that transcends short-term strategies and looks toward a future where collaboration elevates value creation for all parties involved.

The Blind Spots: Managerial Vanity in the Face of Disruption

The crux of the matter is managerial vanity. Leaders with backgrounds in analytics and NLP are often blind to the subtleties that set Generative AI apart. They throw algorithms and data at problems like a chef throws spices into a pot, hoping the resulting stew will taste good in some way. But hope is not a strategy.

Here’s the deeper issue: This isn’t an isolated incident but a recurring pattern that emerges each time there’s a disruption in the tech landscape. Not all managers are equipped to understand the seismic shifts that occur. This wave of change is not just about new technologies. It’s about a new way of condensing information and interacting with stored and forming knowledge. It’s a paradigm shift that goes beyond surface-level changes, creating flashes of light so intense that they render entire organizations temporarily blind to the new realities.

The zeitgeist blows severely, much like in the Middle Ages when kingdoms and monasteries passed from being the epicenters of power and knowledge to obsolete systems that fought for survival. Then, the advent of printing presses and banks fundamentally changed how knowledge and wealth flowed. Today, history is repeating itself. Organizations must adapt or risk becoming relics of a bygone era.

The Roadmap to Evolution: Navigating the AI Frontier

The first step toward navigating this complex landscape is a shift in focus. Software providers must forego raising income through professional services and instead focus on establishing a software capabilities roadmap that will influence the sectors’ future. This isn’t a mere wishlist; it’s a strategic document backed by research and aligned with market needs. The benefit of this shift is profound: it eliminates the intermediate layer that often acts as a bottleneck, paving the way for faster innovation. However, this speed comes with multiple challenges, chiefly the risk of a lack of standardization. The industry needs standards, perhaps inspired by successful open-source initiatives, to ensure this newfound velocity doesn’t devolve into chaos.

Software vendors should promote external cooperation and internal competition, fostering an ecosystem where all parties — competitors, internal units, partners, subcontractors, and clients — contribute actively to shaping the future. This is not just a software issue; it’s an industry-wide challenge. From healthcare to finance, the ripple effects of this shift will be felt across sectors.

The concept of “failing fast” is not an excuse for shoddy work; it’s a strategy for rapid evolution. In nature, the species that adapt the fastest are the ones that survive, a principle known as a life history strategy. Organizations must adopt this mindset, allowing quick iterations and learning from failures. However, a bossy culture that stifles innovation and punishes failure will complicate the adoption of this new paradigm.

Things will move so fast that money will not manage to buy knowledge. As a cautionary tale, consider how slowly many big pharma responded to the pandemic.

The path forward is clear. Winner software vendors will continuously assess these new advances against their offering and develop long-term roadmaps beyond a mere collection of feature requests. Technology winners know that failing fast is often the quickest path to learning.

The Final Verdict: Your Move in the Generative AI Chess Game

The choices you make today as a software vendor are not mere moves on a chessboard; they’re gambits in a high-stakes game that will define the tech landscape for the next decade. Don’t be the player who hesitates and loses by default. Be a calculated risk-taker, a pioneer with a plan. If the labyrinth of Generative AI seems overwhelming, you don’t have to navigate it alone. Reach out for a consultation to decode the complexities.

In essence, the future of Generative AI — and your place in that future — is not a matter of chance; it’s a matter of choice. The ball is now in your court.

Key Takeaways

  • Shift in Focus: Transition from professional services to a roadmap for software capabilities.
  • Strategic Document: Ensure your roadmap is research-backed and aligns with market needs.
  • Eliminate Bottlenecks: Speed up innovation by removing unnecessary layers.
  • Standards: Adopt industry standards to prevent chaos.
  • Industry-wide Challenge: This impacts multiple sectors, not just software.
  • Failing Fast: Embrace a culture of rapid evolution.
  • Bossy Culture: Avoid managerial styles that stifle innovation.
  • Financial Prowess: Money alone can’t replace a solid strategy.
  • Long-term Roadmaps: Plan for the future, not just immediate gains.
  • Consultation: Seek expert advice for implementing Generative AI.
Flavio Aliberti Flavio Aliberti brings with him a 25-year track record in consulting around business intelligence, change management, strategy, M&A transformation, IT and SOX auditing for high regulated domains, like Insurance, Airlines, Trade Associations, Automotive, and Pharma. He holds an MSc in Space Aeronautic Engineering from the University of Naples and an MSc in Advanced Information Technology and Business Management from the University of Wales.

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