Diversification in Investing, Gender Politics, Your Workplace, and Your Private Life: The Unexpected Consequences of Not Putting All Your Eggs in One Basket
Olegs Jemeljanovs, PhD, CFA·11 min
Most notably, they mention a study on random negative income shocks to farmers in Kenya, as generated by periods of drought. These periods of drought and reduced income lead to increases in cortisol levels and higher levels of self-reported stress during drought periods when crops are likely to fail (Chemin, et al, 2013). Not a very surprising finding.
Most of these studies showed that the resulting increases in income lead to a reduction in hospitalization for mental health problems, lower consumption of anxiolytics, and increases in self-reported mental health.
Less direct alleviations of poverty have also shown effects; several randomized controlled trials report in-creases in psychological well-being when participants receive health insurance (45), improved housing, and access to water. Talk about making one hell of a case for UBI (Universal Basic Income).
So yes, there is an effect of income on well-being, and as such, it is not surprising that there is an effect of poverty on stress. Now if you would like to have an in-depth review of the effects of adrenaline (short-term stress) or cortisol (long-term stress), please read my two articles about them as they have been linked. Now, moving onto risk and time perceptions:
These findings can be explained in different ways. The first is rather obvious: the wealthier you are, the more likely you are to have a safety net. So, if one of your riskier choices doesn’t pan out, you cut your losses and you move on.
The second explanation is that you know, or are under the illusion that you’ve got what it takes to make money anyway. Even if you lose it now, you’ve made it once, you can make it twice! This is a nice piece of inductive reasoning which can easily be attributed to optimism or even the self-serving bias. But it is a piece of knowledge (or illusion!) that someone who has never had money doesn’t have.
Another explanation is that assuming people have come out of poverty, this risk-aversion persists. Why? Because people who have been poor are the only ones who really know how bad it can get. If you don’t know poverty, you don’t know. As such, the possible gain associated with a risky choice, cannot compete with the possibility of returning to poverty.
There is an argument to be made that those who know are not necessarily more risk-averse for the sake of being risk-averse. They actually know how bad one of the options in. They have an insight that others just don’t.
Another notable study that is being quoted looked at the difference in time perceptions with regards to windfalls rather than recurring income. Subjects who received a negative income shock (loss) exhibited more present-biased economic behavior than those whom the shock did not affect. No opposite effect was found for positive income shocks. Thus, negative income shocks—a pervasive feature of poverty—appear to increase time-discounting (Haushofer et al, 2013).
This finding (although found in the lab exclusively) is interesting. It shows that the immediate emphasis on loss triggers something within us that makes us hold onto the gains we might already have (immediate rewards) or seek out to (immediately) compensate, as to reduce the pain of loss. This shows how gravely felt the loss of income can truly be and lays a foundation for the immense negative affect and stress associated with continuous loss, or instability of income.
I’m afraid that unlike most of my other articles there’s no real practical application I can give you for these findings. I’m not ignorant enough to write down that poverty is a mindset, and that if you just become more risk-seeking and wait for rewards longer you can become rich.
It is important to recognize the longstanding effects poverty can have on the individual, not only with regards to their financial state but also their physical and mental states. As such, we will be able to grasp why poverty perpetuates, and how this seemingly vicious cycle is best interrupted.
Please do read the articles and those references throughout here:
http://www.princeton.edu/~joha/publications/Haushofer_Fehr_Science_2014.pdf
References:
Chemin, M., De Laat, J., & Haushofer, J. (2013). Negative rainfall shocks increase levels of the stress hormone cortisol among poor farmers in Kenya. Available at SSRN 2294171.
Haushofer, J., & Fehr, E. (2014). On the psychology of poverty. Science, 344(6186), 862-867.
Haushofer, J., Schunk, D., & Fehr, E. (2013). Negative income shocks increase discount rates. University of Zurich Working Paper.Real-time institutional flow data and trading signals for serious investors.
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